Tropical Update 6/15/2021

An area still located over the Bay of Campeche of disorganized showers and storms with a low pressure system, continues to be monitored closely as it could organize within the next 72 hour period of time. The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the risk for development in the Gulf of Mexico to a 40% chance for development within the next 48 hours, and 80% chance for development within the next 5 days. We could potentially see a tropical depression form in the Gulf by late week, as this system makes its way further to the north.

Gulf coast areas along parts of the Texas and Louisiana coasts should continue to monitor the forecast for updates throughout the week, as this forecast develops further and we gather more data.

A more broader look at the tropics shows Tropical Storm Bill continuing to move away from the northeastern United States coastal areas as it moves off to the northeast, and is expected to become extratropical later today. In the eastern Atlantic we’re continuing to monitor a low risk area for development within the 72 hours, located southwest of Cape Verde. This area of disorganized showers and storms has a low 10% chance for tropical development within the next 5 days. However, this potential development could end if a combination of dry air aloft, and stronger winds combine and prevent further development. Stay tuned with

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